Tesla made a Roadster prototype jump over five vehicles on October 15, 2026 at McGregor (Texas). This page recalculates everything that can be recalculated from the public figures. Each section opens with the conclusion and the key figures, then gives the visual, then the equations, so that anyone can redo the calculation. Modeling produced with EQOS Forecast, the mathematical modeling and prediction tool from The Bright Company.
Quick read: Tesla's figures are consistent with each other once you understand that 80 kN is a peak, not an average. The demonstration is real. Flight is bounded by an exponential law, not an engineering detail. The vehicle's hard point is gas storage, not the jump.
Hypothetical simulation. These results are not demonstrated Roadster performance.
1,500 random draws around the current settings: vertical thrust ±20%, duration ±25%, mass ±150 kg, specific impulse 50 to 65 s. Read off the probability of clearing the Semi and the spread of the height.
Motion. The car is a variable-mass point. Position \((x,y)\), velocity \((v_x,v_y)\), mass \(m\):
$$\frac{dx}{dt}=v_x,\quad \frac{dy}{dt}=v_y,\quad \frac{dv_x}{dt}=\frac{F_x}{m},\quad \frac{dv_y}{dt}=\frac{F_y}{m}-g,\quad \frac{dm}{dt}=-\dot m$$4th-order Runge-Kutta integration, 2 ms step during thrust. On flat ground, liftoff only happens if \(F_y \ge m g\). On a ramp of slope \(p\): \(\theta=\arctan(p)\), \(v_{x0}=v_0\cos\theta\), \(v_{y0}=v_0\sin\theta\).
Tank. The stored mass comes from the equation of state with compressibility factor \(Z\) (air, 293 K): \(m_0 = \dfrac{P_0 V}{Z(P_0)\,R\,T_0}\) with \(R=287.05\) J/(kg·K). Venting in under a second is adiabatic: the entropy of the remaining gas stays constant, which gives the tank pressure and temperature as a function of the remaining mass fraction \(f=m/m_0\). These curves \(P(f)\), \(T(f)\) are tabulated from a reference equation of state (Lemmon et al. for air) and interpolated.
Thrust. For a choked fixed-throat nozzle, thrust is proportional to the supply pressure: \(F=C_F A_t P_a\). With a regulator set to \(P_{reg}\): \(P_a=\min(P_{tank},P_{reg})\), hence
$$F(t)=F_0\cdot\min\!\left(1,\frac{P_{tank}(t)}{P_{reg}}\right)$$A variable-throat nozzle holds \(F_0\) as long as \(P_{tank}\) is above a floor (60 bar). Only the lift nozzles fire during the jump; mass flow is \(\dot m = F_y/V_e\), with an exhaust velocity that follows the gas cooling: \(V_e = I_{sp}\,g\sqrt{T_{tank}/T_0}\).
Landing. On the way down, braking starts at height \(h_f=\dfrac{v_y^2-v_t^2}{2a}\) with \(a=F_y/m-g\) and \(v_t=3\) m/s the targeted touchdown speed (the simulator applies a 1/0.6 margin because thrust drops during braking). On the ground, the suspension (0.15 m of travel) absorbs \(\bar F = \dfrac{m v_t^2}{2 s}\).
Clearance. The car's length (4.4 m) is taken into account: the front and the rear, at the floor height, must clear each obstacle along the whole trajectory, not just at the apex.
Energy balance. Two checks run on every calculation: the work \(\int F\cdot v\,dt\) corrected for the ejected-mass term must equal the car's change in mechanical energy; and the car cannot receive more energy than the jet contains, \(\tfrac12 m_{gaz}V_e^2\).
| Data point | Value | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Date and location | October 15, 2026, SpaceX McGregor (Texas) | confirmed | Fortune, CNN, Fox |
| Number of nozzles | 10 (4 at the rear, 6 for lift and rotation) | confirmed | MotorTrend, Tech-Insider |
| Thrust | "more than 80 kN", supersonic jet, four rear nozzles | announced | Tesla via Paul Tan, BigGo |
| Versions | Performance (2 seats), Thrust (2 seats, 200 L), Rocket (1 seat, 600 L) | confirmed | Tesla, Fortune, InsideEVs |
| 0-60 mph | < 1.6 s / < 0.9 s / < 0.59 s; demo measured 0.81 s | announced | Electrek, Car and Driver |
| Storage pressure | "about 10,000 psi" (690 bar) | announced | Moravy via Top Gear |
| Pressure shown on the dashboard | 5,500 psi (380 bar), read on the "Thruster" screen | photo | Teslarati |
| Onboard gas mass | ≈ 250 kg | reported | Drive Tesla, Paul Tan |
| Gas | Nitrogen per Moravy; "air" per other sources | divergence | Top Gear vs Tech-Insider |
| Thrust duration per fill-up | "about 5 s" | reported | Moravy, Sawyer Merritt |
| Tank recharge | 2 to 6 h at a nitrogen station; target < 30 min | reported | InsideEVs, Hagerty |
| Suction downforce | > 4,700 kg; cornering > 2 g (1.26 g on tires alone) | announced | Drive Tesla, Musk |
| Power | 1,000 kW (Performance); 800 to 1,000 kW depending on version | reported | Top Gear |
| Battery | "more than 100 kWh"; 150 kWh per one source | divergence | MotorTrend, BASENOR |
| Mass | Target < 1,700 kg (base version), not certified | target | Top Gear |
| Range | "more than 300 miles" (620 promised in 2017) | announced | Fortune |
| Top speed | > 230 mph (370 km/h) | announced | Electrek |
| Jump height | 27 ft (8.2 m) over the 5 vehicles; ≈ 68 ft (20.7 m) from the ramp, ≈ 3.2 g on landing | announced / reported | NBC, Yahoo Autos |
| Reservations | $50,000 (Performance), $250,000 (Thrust), Rocket by invitation | confirmed | Tesla |
| Production | 2028; Rocket version not street-legal | confirmed | Tesla, Fortune |
| Regulation | The FAA does not consider the Roadster an aircraft | confirmed | CBS, Politico |
| Configuration | Z factor | Gas mass | Recoverable energy | Burst energy | Tank mass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200 L, 690 bar, air (Thrust) | 1.54 | 106 kg | 16.8 kWh | 13 MJ (3.1 kg TNT) | 120 to 138 kg |
| 600 L, 690 bar, air (Rocket) | 1.54 | 319 kg | 50.4 kWh | 39 MJ (9.3 kg TNT) | 360 to 414 kg |
| 600 L, 437 bar, air (reported 250 kg) | 1.25 | 250 kg | 36.0 kWh | 32 MJ (7.7 kg TNT) | 230 to 264 kg |
| 600 L, 690 bar, nitrogen | 1.60 | 297 kg | 49.1 kWh | 38 MJ (9.0 kg TNT) | 360 to 414 kg |
| 600 L, 690 bar, helium | 1.33 | 52 kg | 59.9 kWh | 45 MJ (10.8 kg TNT) | 360 to 414 kg |
Stored mass. \(m=\dfrac{PV}{Z(P,T)\,R\,T}\). The factor \(Z\) comes from a reference equation of state (Lemmon, Jacobsen, Penoncello and Friend, 2000, for air; Span et al. for nitrogen). At 690 bar and 293 K: \(Z_{air}=1.544\), \(Z_{N_2}=1.603\). The Redlich-Kwong equation used in the previous version of this page gave 1.463, a 5.6% difference on mass.
Real pressure for 250 kg in 600 L. Density \(\rho=250/0.6=417\) kg/m³; inverting the equation of state gives \(P=437\) bar (6,330 psi).
Adiabatic venting. In under a second, the gas does not exchange heat with the wall. The gas remaining in the tank undergoes isentropic expansion: \(s(\rho,T)=s_0\). For an ideal gas this gives \(T/T_0=(\rho/\rho_0)^{\gamma-1}\) and \(P/P_0=(\rho/\rho_0)^{\gamma}\) with \(\gamma=7/5\). The chart values come from the real equation of state, which departs from the ideal law by 10 to 15% at these pressures.
Recoverable energy (exergy). The maximum work the gas can deliver as it returns to ambient: \(E_x=m\left[(h-h_0)-T_0(s-s_0)\right]\). Cross-checked with the ideal-gas isothermal formula, \(E_x\approx mRT_0\ln(P/P_0)=48.6\) kWh, within 3.6% of the real-gas calculation.
Burst energy. Isentropic expansion of the gas down to 1 atm: \(E_b=m\,(u-u_e)\) with \(u\) the internal energy. The TNT equivalent uses 4.184 MJ/kg. A pneumatic burst releases about 40% of this energy as a shock wave (section 13).
Tank mass. For carbon-wound composite tanks (type IV), mass is proportional to the product of pressure and volume: \(m_{res}\approx \dfrac{PV}{100\text{ to }115\text{ kJ/kg}}\), figures taken from automotive 700 bar hydrogen tanks.
A useful law. With \(PV=Z\,m_{gaz}RT\) and \(m_{res}=PV/k\): \(\dfrac{m_{res}}{m_{gaz}}=\dfrac{Z\,R\,T_0}{k}=0.785\,Z\). At 690 bar (\(Z=1.54\)) the tank weighs 1.21 times the gas; at 440 bar (\(Z=1.25\)) 0.98 times. Impulse per kilogram of complete system goes from 0.25 to 0.28 kN·s/kg (effective exhaust velocity 549 m/s).
| Quantity | 690 bar supply | 380 bar supply (regulated) |
|---|---|---|
| Ideal thrust coefficient \(C_F\) | 1.67 | 1.64 |
| Total throat area | 6.96 cm² | 12.9 cm² |
| Diameter of each throat (4 nozzles) | 14.9 mm | 20.2 mm |
| Mass flow at 80 kN | 113 kg/s | 115 kg/s |
| Ideal exhaust velocity | 706 m/s (Isp 72 s) | 694 m/s (Isp 71 s) |
| Exit Mach for full expansion | 5.2 | 4.7 |
| Corresponding exit temperature | 45 K | 54 K |
| Exit/throat area ratio (full expansion) | 30 | 20 |
For a gas with a heat-capacity ratio \(\gamma=1.4\) and a choked throat (upstream pressure at least 1.9 times downstream pressure), mass flow depends only on supply pressure and temperature:
$$\dot m = \frac{A_t P_a}{\sqrt{R T_a}}\;\sqrt{\gamma}\left(\frac{2}{\gamma+1}\right)^{\frac{\gamma+1}{2(\gamma-1)}} = 0.6847\,\frac{A_t P_a}{\sqrt{R T_a}}$$Thrust is given by \(F=C_F A_t P_a\). For ideal expansion down to ambient pressure \(P_e=P_{amb}\):
$$C_F=\sqrt{\frac{2\gamma^2}{\gamma-1}\left(\frac{2}{\gamma+1}\right)^{\frac{\gamma+1}{\gamma-1}}\left[1-\left(\frac{P_e}{P_a}\right)^{\frac{\gamma-1}{\gamma}}\right]}$$Exit Mach: \(\dfrac{P_a}{P_e}=\left(1+\dfrac{\gamma-1}{2}M_e^2\right)^{\frac{\gamma}{\gamma-1}}\); exit temperature: \(T_e=\dfrac{T_a}{1+\frac{\gamma-1}{2}M_e^2}\). Air liquefies around 80 K at 1 bar, which caps \(M_e\) at about 3.65. Effective exhaust velocity with the pressure term: \(V_e=\dfrac{F}{\dot m}=u_e+\dfrac{(P_e-P_{amb})A_e}{\dot m}\).
| Tank | Thrust < 50% | Thrust < 20% | Thrust < 10% | Total impulse | Average over 5 s | Thrust > weight (2,400 kg) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200 L (Thrust) | 0.19 s | 0.66 s | 1.31 s | 37 kN·s | 7.4 kN | never at 48 kN vertical |
| 600 L (Rocket) | 0.55 s | 1.84 s | 3.38 s | 95 kN·s | 19 kN | 1.25 s |
At every instant, flow \(\dot m = F/V_e\) and \(F = F_0\,P_{tank}/P_0\) (fixed, choked throat). For an ideal gas, the tank density \(\rho\) follows \(\dot\rho = -\dot m/V\) and pressure \(P=P_0(\rho/\rho_0)^{\gamma}\). Combining them, the isentropic venting of a tank through a choked throat gives a closed-form law:
$$\frac{P(t)}{P_0}=\left(1+\frac{\gamma-1}{2}\,\frac{t}{\tau}\right)^{-\frac{2\gamma}{\gamma-1}}=\left(1+\frac{t}{5\tau}\right)^{-7}\qquad \tau=\frac{V}{A_t\,\Gamma\,\sqrt{R T_0}}$$with \(\Gamma=0.6847\). For the Thrust, \(\tau\approx0.94\) s; for the Rocket, \(\tau\approx2.8\) s. The table values use the real equation of state rather than the ideal law, which shortens the times slightly.
Total impulse is \(\int_0^\infty F\,dt\). The "average thrust over 5 s" is this impulse divided by 5 s. Simple check: 106 kg ejected at 549 m/s gives 58 kN·s total; a fixed nozzle only exploits 37 of it because the end of venting happens at low pressure and low temperature.
| Case | Mass | Calculated 0-60 mph | Announced | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Performance, tires alone (1.26 g) | 1,700 kg | 2.17 s | — | grip limit with no suction |
| Performance, with suction | 1,700 kg | 1.60 s | < 1.6 s | consistent (motor force 28.5 kN) |
| Thrust, 200 L, decaying thrust | 1,940 kg | 0.92 s | < 0.9 s | consistent to 2% |
| Rocket, 600 L, decaying thrust | 2,400 kg | 0.83 s | 0.81 s (demo) | consistent to 2.5% |
| Rocket, constant 80 kN (variable throat) | 2,400 kg | 0.59 s | < 0.59 s | requires regulated thrust |
| Rocket, all 10 nozzles rearward (160 kN) | 2,400 kg | 0.43 s | — | physical bound |
Holding 0.59 s with a fixed nozzle would require 117 kN at the start. Maximum Thrust mass to stay under 0.9 s with real venting: 1,905 kg.
Tractive force available at the wheel, limited by grip, power and torque:
$$F_{roue}=\min\Big(\mu\,(mg+D),\;\frac{\eta P_{max}}{v},\;F_{cap}\Big)$$with \(\mu=1.26\) (grip coefficient deduced from Tesla's "1.26 g on the tires" claim), \(D=46.1\) kN of suction downforce, \(\eta=0.92\), \(P_{max}=1\) MW. \(F_{cap}=28.5\) kN is obtained by inverting the announced 1.6 s. Equation of motion: \(m\,\dot v = F_{roue}+F_{tuyères}(t)\), integrated up to \(v=26.82\) m/s. Nozzle thrust follows section 5.
Torque cross-check: \(F=\dfrac{C\cdot i}{r}=\dfrac{1\,302\times 9}{0.35}=33.5\) kN for a gear ratio of 9 and a 0.35 m wheel radius; the order of magnitude matches the inverted 28.5 kN.
| Configuration (48 kN vertical, 0.7 s, 2,075 kg) | Height | Gas consumed |
|---|---|---|
| Old simulator: constant pressure, 300 L | 7.99 m | 61 kg |
| 300 L, real venting, no regulator | 2.23 m | 38 kg |
| 300 L, 380 bar regulator | 5.33 m | 51 kg |
| 600 L, 380 bar regulator | 7.84 m | 61 kg |
| Announced by Tesla | 8.23 m | — |
| Landing from | Free-fall speed | Targeted touchdown | Braking impulse | Gas | 80 kN braking for | Suspension (15 cm travel) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2 m (5 vehicles) | 12.7 m/s | 3 m/s | 23.3 kN·s | 42 kg | 0.41 s, from 3.2 m | 72 kN = 3.1 g, 18 kN per wheel |
| 8.2 m | 12.7 m/s | 5 m/s | 18.5 kN·s | 34 kg | 0.33 s | 200 kN = 8.5 g |
| 20.7 m (ramp) | 20.2 m/s | 3 m/s | 41.2 kN·s | 75 kg | 0.73 s, from 8.4 m | 72 kN = 3.1 g |
| 8.2 m without braking | 12.7 m/s | 12.7 m/s | 0 | 0 | — | 55 g: wheels destroyed |
The simulator shows that with a fixed nozzle behind a 380 bar regulator, the pressure left after the climb is no longer enough to brake a 2,475 kg car: vertical thrust drops below weight. Landing like in the demo requires either a variable-throat nozzle, a pressure reserve dedicated to braking, or a lighter car. A full jump (climb + braking) consumes 100 to 130 kg of gas depending on mass, a third to half a tank.
Height reached after thrust: \(H=y_1+\dfrac{v_{y1}^2}{2g}\) where \(y_1\), \(v_{y1}\) are the height and vertical velocity at the end of thrust (integrated, section 1). For a constant thrust \(F_v\) over a duration \(T\) and constant mass: \(v_{y1}=(F_v/m-g)T\), \(y_1=\tfrac12(F_v/m-g)T^2\).
Free fall: \(v_{imp}=\sqrt{2gH}\). Braking at thrust \(F_v\): deceleration \(a=F_v/m-g\), trigger height \(h_f=\dfrac{v_{imp}^2-v_t^2}{2a}\), duration \(\dfrac{v_{imp}-v_t}{a}\), gas \(\dfrac{m(v_{imp}-v_t)}{V_e}\). Suspension: \(\bar F=\dfrac{m v_t^2}{2s}\) with \(s=0.15\) m.
Chassis flex on landing, treating the tanks (700 kg) as a load at mid-wheelbase \(L_e=2.7\) m resting on two supports: \(M=\dfrac{m_{res}\,a\,L_e}{4}=15\) kN·m at 3.2 g, 23 kN·m at 5 g. Minimum section modulus at 300 MPa with a 1.5 safety factor: 74 to 116 cm³. A carbon shell absorbs it; this is not the hard point.
| Maneuver | Inertia | Angular rate | Impulse per nozzle (start, then stop) | Gas | Thrust for a 0.15 s impulse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 360° roll in 1 s (0.9 m arm) | 726 kg·m² | 6.28 rad/s | 5.1 kN·s × 2 | 18.5 kg | 34 kN |
| 180° pitch flip in 1.2 s (2 m arm) | 3,362 kg·m² | 2.62 rad/s | 4.4 kN·s × 2 | 16 kg | 29 kN |
| 20° yaw correction in 0.5 s | 3,702 kg·m² | 0.70 rad/s | 1.3 kN·s × 2 | 4.7 kg | 8.6 kN |
Inertia of a homogeneous box of mass \(m_c\): \(I_{roulis}=\dfrac{m_c(W^2+H^2)}{12}\), \(I_{tangage}=\dfrac{m_c(L^2+H^2)}{12}\), \(I_{lacet}=\dfrac{m_c(L^2+W^2)}{12}\), to which the tanks are added (0.35 m-radius cylinder for roll, point mass at 0.8 m for pitch and yaw). Dimensions 4.4 × 1.9 × 1.1 m, body 1,700 kg, tanks 700 kg.
To turn by an angle \(\theta\) over a duration \(\Delta t\) at constant speed: \(\omega=\theta/\Delta t\), angular momentum \(L=I\omega\), impulse of a nozzle with arm \(r\): \(J=L/r\), once to start, once to stop. Gas: \(2J/V_e\). Attitude error: \(\delta\theta=\theta\cdot\delta J/J\); valve delay: \(\delta\theta=\omega\,\delta t\).
| Onboard gas (2,400 kg total) | Isp 50 s | Isp 56 s | Isp 70 s |
|---|---|---|---|
| 319 kg (600 L at 690 bar) | 7.1 s | 8.0 s | 10.0 s |
| 250 kg (reported) | 5.5 s | 6.2 s | 7.7 s |
| To fly 30 s | 995 kg of gas (Isp 56 s), i.e. 41% of the mass | ||
| To fly 60 s | 1,578 kg of gas, i.e. 66% of the mass | ||
| Electric lift (2,400 kg, figure of merit 0.7) | Power | Duration on 150 kWh |
|---|---|---|
| 2 m² of rotors | 2.4 MW | 3.8 min |
| 8 m² of rotors | 1.2 MW | 7.6 min |
| Current fans reversed (80 kW, 0.4 m²) | 1.4 kN | 6% of weight |
Thrust = weight: \(\dot m\,V_e=mg\) with \(V_e=I_{sp}g\), so \(\dot m = m/I_{sp}\) and
$$m(t)=m_0\,e^{-t/I_{sp}}\qquad t_{max}=I_{sp}\ln\frac{m_0}{m_0-m_{gaz}}$$Gas fraction needed for a duration \(T\): \(1-e^{-T/I_{sp}}\). Rotor lift (momentum theory): induced power \(P=\dfrac{1}{\mathrm{FM}}\sqrt{\dfrac{(mg)^3}{2\rho A}}\) with a figure of merit \(\mathrm{FM}=0.7\) and \(\rho=1.2\) kg/m³.
| Quantity | Value | Assumption |
|---|---|---|
| Announced downforce | 46.1 kN | 4,700 kg |
| Effective underbody area | 6.7 m² | 80% of 4.4 × 1.9 m |
| Required vacuum | 6.9 kPa (6.8% atm) | downforce / area |
| Leak flow for 80 kW of fans | 5.8 to 7.5 m³/s | efficiency 0.5 to 0.65 |
| Average skirt clearance | 7 to 9 mm | perimeter 12.6 m, discharge coefficient 0.6 |
| Downforce / weight (1,700 kg · 2,400 kg) | 2.76 · 1.96 | allows driving on a ceiling with a 22 to 29 kN margin |
| Theoretical cornering (1,700 kg · 2,400 kg) | 4.7 g · 3.7 g | grip 1.26; Tesla announces "more than 2 g", lower bound |
| Vertical load per tire, suction active | 15.7 to 17.4 kN | 1,600 to 1,775 kg per wheel |
| Cost in range for 10 kW permanent | −37% | section 11 |
Vacuum: \(\Delta P = D/A_{eff}\). Air entry speed under the skirt: \(u=\sqrt{2\Delta P/\rho}=107\) m/s. Flow the fans can extract: \(Q=\eta_f P_{fan}/\Delta P\). Equivalent clearance: \(e=\dfrac{Q}{C_d\,u\,L_{per}}\) with \(C_d=0.6\). Maximum lateral acceleration: \(a_y=\mu\,\dfrac{mg+D}{m}\). Driving on a ceiling requires \(D>mg\).
| Case | Consumption | Range, 100 kWh | Range, 150 kWh |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1,700 kg, 110 km/h, fans off | 154 Wh/km | 619 km | 928 km |
| 2,400 kg (Rocket), 110 km/h | 175 Wh/km | 542 km | 813 km |
| 1,700 kg, 130 km/h | 192 Wh/km | 496 km | 744 km |
| 1,700 kg, 110 km/h, 10 kW of suction | 244 Wh/km | 389 km | 584 km |
| 1,700 kg, 110 km/h, 80 kW of suction | 881 Wh/km | 108 km | 162 km |
| Speed | Power at the wheels required | Maximum drag area for 1 MW | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| 230 mph (370 km/h) | 418 kW | 1.35 m² | achievable |
| 330 mph (531 km/h) | 1,205 kW | 0.45 m² | out of reach with 1 MW |
| Mach 0.5 (383 mph) | 1,872 kW | 0.29 m² | out of reach |
At 370 km/h, the tire tread undergoes 3,000 g of centrifugal acceleration (2,800 rpm): special-category tires are needed, and a 1.2 m² wing there produces 11 kN of downforce for 78 kW of drag.
Consumption per kilometer at constant speed \(v\):
$$e(v)=\frac{\tfrac12\rho\,C_dA\,v^2 + C_{rr}\,m\,g}{\eta}+\frac{P_{aux}+P_{fan}}{v}$$with \(\rho=1.2\) kg/m³, \(C_dA=0.55\) m² (assumption, Tesla has not published the coefficient), \(C_{rr}=0.010\), \(\eta=0.88\), \(P_{aux}=400\) W. Range: \(E_{utile}/e(v)\) with 95% of nominal capacity usable. Top speed: \(P_{roues}=\dfrac{\tfrac12\rho C_dA v^3 + C_{rr}mgv}{0.9}\). Dynamic pressure at 370 km/h: \(q=\tfrac12\rho v^2=6.3\) kPa. Tread centrifugal acceleration: \(\omega^2 r\) with \(\omega=v/r\).
| Battery | 4680 cells | Current at 900 V | Pack resistance | Heat at 1 MW | +15 °C after | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 kWh, 3 mΩ cell | 1,031 | 1,111 A | 172 mΩ | 212 kW (21%) | 23 s | 10 C |
| 100 kWh, 5 mΩ cell | 1,031 | 1,111 A | 286 mΩ | 354 kW (35%) | 14 s | 10 C |
| 150 kWh, 3 mΩ cell | 1,546 | 1,111 A | 115 mΩ | 141 kW (14%) | 52 s | 6.7 C |
| 150 kWh, 5 mΩ cell | 1,546 | 1,111 A | 191 mΩ | 236 kW (24%) | 31 s | 6.7 C |
Recharging at 500 kW from 15 to 80% of 150 kWh takes 11.7 minutes, consistent with the announced "under 15 minutes". The 1 MW claim is tenable provided there is a 150 kWh pack and low-resistance cells.
Number of cells: \(n=E/97\) Wh (4680 cell). Architecture: \(n_s=243\) in series for 900 V (3.7 V per cell), \(n_p=n/n_s\) in parallel. Pack resistance: \(R=\dfrac{n_s R_{cell}}{n_p}\). Heat: \(Q=I^2R\) with \(I=P/U\). Adiabatic heating: \(\Delta T=\dfrac{Q\,t}{m_{cell}\,c_p}\) with 355 g and 900 J/(kg·K) per cell. Heat at partial power scales as the square of power: \(Q(P)=Q_{1MW}(P/1\,\mathrm{MW})^2\).
| Risk | Calculated value | Consequence |
|---|---|---|
| Force on tank mounts (400 kg) at 30 g · 50 g | 118 kN · 196 kN | mounts to be sized like a battery pack |
| Required burst pressure (2.25 ratio, hydrogen rule) | 1,552 bar | tanks heavier than the low estimate |
| 5 psi overpressure radius (light building destruction) | ≈ 5 m | effective TNT equivalent 3.7 kg |
| 1 psi overpressure radius (window breakage) | ≈ 28 m | |
| Safety venting in 60 s | 5.3 kg/s, parasitic thrust 2.9 kN | venting must use opposed vents |
| Gas temperature on fast venting | −40 °C after 25%; −94 °C at 50% | liner and seal embrittlement; valve icing |
| Pressure cycles (one fill-up a day, 10 years) | 3,650 | below the 11,000 required for hydrogen: tenable |
| Mechanical jet power at 80 kN | 22 MW | |
| Noise level at 15 m | 135 to 142 dB | road-homologation limit: 74 dB(A) |
| Blast speed behind a 20 kN nozzle | 90 m/s at 10 m, 45 m/s at 20 m | flying gravel, danger to a following vehicle |
Shock wave. TNT equivalent \(W=0.4\,E_b/4.184\) MJ (a pneumatic burst releases about 40% of the isentropic energy as a pressure wave). Distances via the Hopkinson scaling law: \(R=Z\,W^{1/3}\), with \(Z\approx3.5\) m/kg^{1/3} for 5 psi and 18 for 1 psi (Kingery and Bulmash charts).
Noise. Mechanical jet power \(P_j=\tfrac12 F V_e\). Acoustic power \(P_a=\eta_a P_j\) with \(\eta_a=0.2\) to 1% for a cold supersonic jet. Power level \(L_w=10\log_{10}(P_a/10^{-12})\); level at distance \(r\): \(L_p=L_w-20\log_{10}r-8\).
Blast. On-axis speed of a free turbulent jet far from the nozzle: \(u(x)\approx 7\,\dfrac{\sqrt{F/\rho}}{x}\), where \(F\) is the nozzle's thrust.
| Link | Efficiency | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Battery → compressed gas (multi-stage compressor) | 35 to 50% | compression heat lost |
| Compressed gas → jet kinetic energy | 26% | incomplete expansion, cold jet |
| Jet → work on the car (0-60 mph) | 5.3% | the jet exits at 549 m/s, the car moves at 10 to 25 m/s |
| Full chain | 0.7% | product of the three |
Recharge energy: \(E=E_x/\eta_c\) where \(E_x=50.4\) kWh is the gas exergy (section 3). Time: \(E/P_{comp}\). Instantaneous propulsive efficiency of a nozzle on a mover at speed \(v\): \(\eta_p=\dfrac{2v/V_e}{1+(v/V_e)^2}\); integrated over the 0-60 (6.5 m, 0.45 s, 520 kJ of work for 65 kg of gas) it is 5.3%. Equivalent electrical cost: \(W/0.9\).
| Unknown | Assumption used | How to resolve it |
|---|---|---|
| Real mass of each version | 1,700 kg (base), 1,940 kg (Thrust), 2,400 kg (Rocket) | public weigh-in |
| Gas (air or nitrogen) and real pressure | air, 690 bar; 437 bar variant tested | tank spec sheet |
| Split of the 80 kN across the 10 nozzles | 80 kN = the 4 rear ones; 60% downward for the jump | nozzle layout |
| Regulator, throat area, variable or fixed throat | 380 bar regulator, fixed throats 15 to 20 mm | pneumatic schematic |
| Effective specific impulse | 56 s at 20 °C, corrected for cooling | bench test: thrust and flow |
| Thrust profile during the demo | regulated then decaying thrust | October 15 telemetry |
| Inertia and nozzle position | homogeneous body + tanks at the center | CAD model |
| Aerodynamic coefficient | \(C_dA=0.55\) m² | wind tunnel |
| Battery capacity and resistance | 100 to 150 kWh, 3 to 5 mΩ per cell | cell spec sheet |
| Fan power | 80 kW (a single source) | spec sheet |
| Tank crash behavior | hydrogen rules (GTR 13) by analogy | crash testing |
| Regulatory status of flight | not calculable | NHTSA / FAA decision |
For a given gas mass, height depends on the thrust-to-weight ratio. At 48 kN (twice the weight), half the gas is spent fighting gravity. At 160 kN (6.6 times the weight), only 15%. Same 100 kg of gas: 13.1 m versus 22.2 m.
Velocity gained \(\Delta v = V_e\ln\dfrac{m_0}{m_0-m_{gaz}} - g\,T\) with \(T=\dfrac{m_{gaz}V_e}{F}\). The loss \(gT\) is \(\dfrac{1}{n}\) of the ideal velocity, \(n=F/mg\). 100 kg at 2,475 kg: 48 kN → 13.1 m; 80 kN → 18.3 m; 160 kN → 22.2 m; impulsive limit 26.1 m. Gimbaled nozzles, like on a launcher, give this gain without a single extra gram of gas.
A fixed nozzle loses thrust with pressure. A pintle that opens the throat as pressure drops keeps thrust constant down to 60 bar: 61% of the gas usable at full thrust instead of 16%.
\(F=C_F A_t P\): at constant \(F\), \(A_t(t)=\dfrac{F}{C_F P(t)}\). Throat area from 7 cm² at 690 bar to 80 cm² at 60 bar. Makes the 0.59 s figure and the braked landing reproducible with the current tank.
A nozzle wrapped in a shroud that entrains ambient air pushes harder at the same power: thrust grows as the square root of total flow. With entrainment equal to the primary flow, +41% ideal thrust and −12 dB of noise; real static ejectors give +20 to +50%.
At fixed jet power \(P_j\), \(F=\sqrt{2P_j\dot m}\) so \(F\propto\sqrt{\dot m}\). Noise scales as \(V_e^8\) (Lighthill's law): \(\Delta L=80\log_{10}(V_e'/V_e)\). Rocket 0-60 mph: 0.59 s → 0.49 s with +30%. Useful from a standing start, ineffective in flight (entrainment falls off with speed).
Heating the tank reduces total impulse: at a fixed pressure, less gas is carried (276 kg instead of 319 at 80 °C). Heating the gas between the tank and the nozzle increases it: at 245 °C full expansion becomes possible without liquefaction and specific impulse goes from 56 to 95 s.
At fixed \((P,V)\): \(m\propto\dfrac{1}{ZT}\), \(V_e\propto\sqrt T\), so \(I\propto T^{-1/2}\). In-line: \(V_e=\sqrt{\dfrac{2\gamma}{\gamma-1}RT_0\left[1-(P_e/P_0)^{(\gamma-1)/\gamma}\right]}=933\) m/s at 518 K. Heating the whole tank needs 70 MJ (14 MW over 5 s): impossible. Heating the landing reserve (50 kg) needs 11 MJ: a 41 kg aluminum block at 300 °C, or 22 kg of molten salt. Hover becomes possible: 13.5 s instead of 8.
A 690 bar composite tank is already an extraordinarily stiff beam. Putting it to work in bending, like a rocket's tank, saves on the structure around it.
Pressure creates an axial stress equal to half the hoop stress; the axial margin allows a moment \(M=\dfrac{\pi P r^3}{2}\): 867 kN·m for a 20 cm radius, versus 23 kN·m required on landing at 5 g. The hard points are crash and joint fatigue, not strength. To be studied with hydrogen-rule crash tests.
Tank mass per kilogram of gas equals 0.785 times the compressibility factor. It rises with pressure. For 600 L, 440 bar is the mass optimum: it is also the pressure implied by the 250 kg reported by the press.
\(\dfrac{m_{res}}{m_{gaz}}=\dfrac{ZRT_0}{k}\) with \(k\approx107\) kJ/kg. Z = 1.25 at 440 bar, 1.54 at 690 bar: −19% of tank mass per kilogram of gas. Prediction: the production version will store between 400 and 500 bar, not 690.
Suction power is proportional to the clearance under the skirts. Active skirts that track the road at 3.5 mm instead of 7 halve the power, and range climbs by the same amount.
\(P=\dfrac{C_d\,e\,L_{per}\sqrt{2/\rho}\;\Delta P^{3/2}}{\eta_f}\): 84 kW at 9 mm, 65 kW at 7 mm, 33 kW at 3.5 mm, 19 kW at 2 mm. Aerodynamic downforce alone (lifting surface 2.5 to 4 m²) only replaces the fans above 500 km/h: they remain necessary at any speed.
To hold 1 MW for a minute without exceeding 15 °C of heating, the cell must stay under 2.6 mΩ in a 150 kWh pack, and under 1.2 mΩ in a 100 kWh pack. The first target is achievable; the second is not with current cells.
\(Q_{adm}=\dfrac{\Delta T\,m_{cell}c_p}{t}=124\) kW (150 kWh); \(R_{pack}=Q/I^2=100\) mΩ; \(R_{cell}=R_{pack}\,n_p/n_s\). Prediction: the 1 MW figure will be announced as a 10 to 30 s peak power, with a 150 kWh pack.
These predictions follow from this page's equations under the assumptions of section 15. They will be verifiable once the spec sheets are published.
This study was produced with EQOS Forecast, the mathematical modeling and prediction tool from The Bright Company, which generates the equations for each subsystem from conservation laws and public figures, then computes and cross-checks them. All numerical values on this page were calculated with a reference equation of state for air and nitrogen (the CoolProp library, Lemmon's and Span's formulations), a 4th-order Runge-Kutta integrator and random draws for uncertainty. The online simulator uses the same equations with interpolated tables. Constants: \(g=9.81\) m/s², \(R_{air}=287.05\) J/(kg·K), \(\gamma=7/5\), \(T_0=293.15\) K, \(\rho_{air}=1.2\) kg/m³.
Not modeled: in-flight aerodynamic drag (111 N at 60 km/h, 0.8% effect over 2.6 s, verified negligible), body lift, rotation dynamics coupled to translation, structural strength beyond the orders of magnitude given, and anything that depends on unpublished data (section 15). The conjectures in section 17 are mathematical results under explicit assumptions; they remain to be confirmed on a test bench. This is not a certified engineering calculation: it is a reproducible model, with every assumption visible, that anyone can recompute.
Sources: Fortune (Oct. 17, 2026), InsideEVs (specs and recharge), EVKX, Drive Tesla Canada (suction), Teslarati (5,500 psi screen), BigGo Finance, Tech-Insider, CellCog, Brainwagon, EVXL (LeCun-Musk exchange), Wikipedia (Tesla Roadster, second generation; cold gas thruster), Top Gear and MotorTrend via the cited articles.
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